Friday, July 16, 2010

Cubs Have Long Way to Climb

After the Cubs' second half winning streak has hit the epic level of two, the Cubs record stands at 41-50.  The Reds have already won their game to go to 50-41, and barring a major collapse, the Cardinals will win their game (they currently lead the Dodgers 8-2 in the 6th) to bring their record to 49-41.

So, let's say both the Reds and the Cardinals maintain their current paces of play.  This is a perfectly reasonable assumption since neither team is exactly playing over their heads.

If the Reds maintain their .549 win percentage, they will finish 89-63.  The Cardinals at their pace would finish 88-64.  That means the Cubs would have to go 49-22 for a .690 clip to win 90 games to win the Central.

If the Reds and Cardinals each only play .500 ball the rest of the way, the Reds would finish 86-76 and the Cardinals would be 85-77.  To catch two teams that tread water, the Cubs need to go 46-25, otherwise known as a .648 win percentage.

This from a team that was winning at a .438 pace before the aforementioned two game winning streak.

I just thought we should have some respect for the depth of the hole the Cubs have dug for themselves. 


Go Cubs!!

2 comments:

OMC said...

So you're saying there's hope?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KX5jNnDMfxA

Aisle 424 said...

About as much hope as me getting attacked by a shark while walking on the moon after winning the lottery.

Post a Comment

The easiest way to comment is to choose the Name/URL option from the Comment As dropdown menu below. You do not need to put in a URL for this option to work.

Sometimes upon submitting the comment, you will get an error saying there is a problem. Submit the comment again and it should work. I am looking into correcting this glitch.