After the Cubs' second half winning streak has hit the epic level of two, the Cubs record stands at 41-50. The Reds have already won their game to go to 50-41, and barring a major collapse, the Cardinals will win their game (they currently lead the Dodgers 8-2 in the 6th) to bring their record to 49-41.
So, let's say both the Reds and the Cardinals maintain their current paces of play. This is a perfectly reasonable assumption since neither team is exactly playing over their heads.
If the Reds maintain their .549 win percentage, they will finish 89-63. The Cardinals at their pace would finish 88-64. That means the Cubs would have to go 49-22 for a .690 clip to win 90 games to win the Central.
If the Reds and Cardinals each only play .500 ball the rest of the way, the Reds would finish 86-76 and the Cardinals would be 85-77. To catch two teams that tread water, the Cubs need to go 46-25, otherwise known as a .648 win percentage.
This from a team that was winning at a .438 pace before the aforementioned two game winning streak.
I just thought we should have some respect for the depth of the hole the Cubs have dug for themselves.
Go Cubs!!
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2 comments:
So you're saying there's hope?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KX5jNnDMfxA
About as much hope as me getting attacked by a shark while walking on the moon after winning the lottery.
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