This Chicago Cubs blog is inspired by the Trib ads in the 80s called Tales from the Upper Deck, which featured one of my heroes and die-hard Cub fan, Mike Royko.
I spent a great deal of my time up in Aisle 424 of Wrigley Field with other Cubs season ticket holders from 1998 to 2010. We mainly talked about the Cubs or baseball, but we also delved into other topics on occasion. Though many of us have given up our Season Tickets now, we still get together to talk baseball and discuss the continuing failure of the Chicago Cubs to win a World Series in our lifetimes.
Tales from Aisle 424 usually resembles the occasionally insightful, mostly snarky, and nonsensical rants of me and my summer family (and it usually comes back around to the Cubs).
After the Cubs' second half winning streak has hit the epic level of two, the Cubs record stands at 41-50. The Reds have already won their game to go to 50-41, and barring a major collapse, the Cardinals will win their game (they currently lead the Dodgers 8-2 in the 6th) to bring their record to 49-41.
So, let's say both the Reds and the Cardinals maintain their current paces of play. This is a perfectly reasonable assumption since neither team is exactly playing over their heads.
If the Reds maintain their .549 win percentage, they will finish 89-63. The Cardinals at their pace would finish 88-64. That means the Cubs would have to go 49-22 for a .690 clip to win 90 games to win the Central.
If the Reds and Cardinals each only play .500 ball the rest of the way, the Reds would finish 86-76 and the Cardinals would be 85-77. To catch two teams that tread water, the Cubs need to go 46-25, otherwise known as a .648 win percentage.
This from a team that was winning at a .438 pace before the aforementioned two game winning streak.
I just thought we should have some respect for the depth of the hole the Cubs have dug for themselves.